Is Jupiter Shrinking? The 2026 Discovery Rewriting Textbooks

Have you ever looked at a ruler and wondered if the inches were actually inches? For fifty years, every astronomy textbook in every classroom—from the one I studied in university to the ones on your shelf—has agreed on the dimensions of the King of Planets. But what if our "ruler" was slightly off?

As someone who spends his life advocating for scientific truth (and often doing it from the perspective of a wheelchair, which teaches you a lot about looking at things from different angles), I’m thrilled to share a major update that just landed on my desk. It turns out, Jupiter is smaller and flatter than we’ve believed for half a century. And the reason why involves a brilliant mix of radio waves, hurricane-force winds, and the relentless curiosity of the human spirit.

At FreeAstroScience.com, we believe that keeping your mind open to new data is the best way to keep it young. As Goya famously etched, "the sleep of reason breeds monsters." So, let’s wake up and look at the new numbers.

The Gas Giant Gets a Reality Check: Why Jupiter is Smaller Than We Thought

It’s not every day that the largest planet in our solar system gets a "downsizing." On February 2, 2026, a groundbreaking study led by the Weizmann Institute of Science was published in Nature Astronomy, revealing that our old measurements were wrong. nature

For decades, we relied on data from the Voyager and Pioneer missions of the 1970s. Those brave little probes did their best, but they only gave us six reliable measurements to work with. Imagine trying to tailor a suit for a giant while only measuring their wrist and ankle—you’re going to get the fit wrong.

How Much Smaller Is Jupiter, Really?

Don't worry, Jupiter hasn't suddenly shrunk overnight. The planet is the same mass it always was; it's our accuracy that has improved. The new data, collected by NASA's Juno spacecraft, offers a precision that puts the old numbers to shame.

Here is the new reality at the 1-bar pressure level (which is roughly the atmospheric pressure you feel at sea level on Earth):

Table 1: Comparison of Jupiter's Radii at 1-Bar Pressure Level (1970s vs. 2026)
Measurement Type Old Value (1970s) New Value (2026) Net Change
Equatorial Radius 71,492 km 71,488 km -4 km
Polar Radius 66,854 km 66,842 km -12 km
Uncertainty (Error Margin) Unknown / High ±0.4 km Improved Precision
Key Mathematical Update:
The revised Polar Radius (Rpol) reveals a significantly higher optical flattening (f) than previously calculated.

Flattening Formula:
f = (Req - Rpol) / Req

While a difference of 4 to 12 kilometers might sound trivial when talking about a planet that could swallow 1,300 Earths, in the world of astrophysics, this is huge. It means Jupiter is significantly "flatter" or more squashed at the poles than we thought. The error margin on these new numbers is just ±0.4 km—that's incredibly precise.

How Did the Winds Trick Us for 50 Years?

This is where the physics gets fascinating. You might wonder, "Gerd, how do you mess up measuring a giant ball of gas?"

The culprit was the wind. Jupiter isn't a solid rock like Earth or Mars; it's a dynamic, swirling ball of gas with zonal winds that scream across the planet at speeds up to 539 kilometers per hour.

The previous measurements from the 1970s treated Jupiter more like a static sphere and didn't fully account for how these ferocious winds distort the atmosphere's shape. The team at Weizmann, led by Prof. Yohai Kaspi and Dr. Eli Galanti, realized that these winds were creating discrepancies between gravity data and atmospheric models. By incorporating this wind data into their calculations, they resolved the conflict. chinadailyhk

Essentially, the winds were "puffing up" our readings in specific areas. Once we mathematically stripped away the effects of the weather, we found a slightly slimmer planet underneath.

How Did Juno Measure a Gas Giant?

The heroes of this story are the radio instruments on board NASA's Juno spacecraft. Unlike Voyager, which did a flyby, Juno has been orbiting Jupiter since 2016. In 2021, NASA extended the mission and tweaked Juno's orbit so it would pass behind Jupiter from our perspective on Earth. chinadailyhk

This allowed for a technique called Radio Occultation.

  1. The Setup: Juno flies behind Jupiter.
  2. The Signal: It beams a radio signal back to Earth.
  3. The Bend: As the radio waves pass through Jupiter's atmosphere on their way to us, they get bent (refracted).
  4. The Map: By measuring exactly how much the waves bend, scientists can map the density and temperature of the atmosphere with extreme precision. chinadailyhk

While Voyager gave us 6 of these measurements, Juno has provided over 26, creating a high-definition map of the planet's shape. timesofisrael

Why Do These Few Kilometers Matter to Us?

You might be asking, "Why does it matter if Jupiter is 12 kilometers flatter?"

It matters because Jupiter is our laboratory. It is the reference standard for everything we know about gas giants. When we find exoplanets orbiting distant stars, we compare them to Jupiter. If our ruler—Jupiter—is wrong, then our understanding of the entire cosmos is slightly skewed. linkedin

Furthermore, this helps us understand the planet's interior. As Dr. Galanti pointed out, shifting the radius helps our models fit the gravity data much better. It's like finally finding the missing piece of a puzzle; suddenly, the picture of Jupiter's core and deep atmosphere becomes much clearer.

A Final Thought from Free Astroscience

Science is not a dusty book of unchangeable facts; it is a living, breathing process of correction and refinement. Just as I navigate the world differently from my wheelchair, finding new paths where others see stairs, science finds new answers by looking at old problems from fresh angles.

The universe is vast, and we are just beginning to measure it correctly. Stay curious, stay skeptical, and remember: the sleep of reason breeds monsters.


Sources:

  • Times of Israel - Israeli scientists find Jupiter is smaller timesofisrael
  • China Daily - Jupiter smaller, flatter than previously believed chinadailyhk
  • NASA's Juno Mission Reveals Jupiter is Smaller news.ssbcrack
  • Phys.org - Jupiter's slimmer profile phys
  • Nature Astronomy - The size and shape of Jupiter nature

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