Is Dark Matter Wrong? Clusters Are Twice as Heavy as We Thought

The Abell 209 galaxy cluster - at a distance of 2.8 billion light-years. © Image: ESA/Hubble & NASA, M. Postman, P. Kelly

What if the invisible substance we've spent half a century searching for — dark matter — doesn't exist the way we think it does? What if the universe is hiding its mass in plain sight, locked inside dead stars and black holes that we simply forgot to count?

Welcome to FreeAstroScience, where we break down complex scientific ideas into clear, human language — because we believe the sleep of reason breeds monsters, and a curious mind is the best defense against ignorance. Whether you're an astrophysics student, a science enthusiast, or just someone who looked up at the night sky and wondered "what's really out there?" — this article is for you.

A groundbreaking study, accepted for publication in Physical Review D in February 2026, has shaken the foundations of one of physics' oldest mysteries. A University of Bonn-led team has recalculated the masses of 46 galaxy clusters and found them to contain roughly twice as much normal matter as we previously assumed. Stick with us to the very end. This story changes how we think about the cosmos.

Galaxy Clusters Are Heavier Than We Thought — And Dark Matter Models May Never Recover

What Is Dark Matter, and Why Have We Been Chasing It for Decades?

Let's start with the basics. When astronomers look at the visible universe — the stars, galaxies, gas clouds, everything we can see — the math doesn't add up. There isn't enough visible mass to explain how galaxies hold themselves together.

That gap between what we see and what gravity demands led scientists to propose something radical: dark matter. Not "dark" because it's sinister, but because it doesn't emit, absorb, or reflect light. It's invisible. And for roughly 40 to 50 years, researchers have been hunting for it [[1]].

The late Swiss astronomer Fritz Zwicky first raised this idea in the 1930s. He noticed that galaxies inside clusters were moving too fast — way too fast for the visible mass to hold them together. Decades later, American astronomer Vera Rubin confirmed the problem by studying galaxy rotation curves.

Since then, the mainstream theory has leaned on exotic particles called WIMPs (Weakly Interacting Massive Particles) to explain the missing mass. Underground detectors, particle accelerators, and orbiting telescopes have all searched for WIMPs. So far? Nothing definitive. Not a single smoking gun.

That silence has grown louder with each passing year.

Why Don't Galaxies Fly Apart? The Rotation Curve Mystery

Picture a carousel spinning at a fairground. The horses on the outer edge move faster than those near the center. But in galaxies, something strange happens: the stars at the far edges orbit at nearly the same speed as those closer in.

Under standard Newtonian gravity, those outer stars should be flung off into space. They don't have enough visible matter pulling them inward to stay on course. Either there's an enormous halo of unseen mass surrounding each galaxy — the dark matter hypothesis — or our understanding of gravity itself needs an update.

For decades, the scientific mainstream chose the first option. But an alternative has been steadily gaining ground.

What Is MOND, and How Does It Challenge Dark Matter?

In 1983, Israeli theoretical physicist Mordehai Milgrom proposed a different answer. He called it MOND — Modified Newtonian Dynamics. His idea was elegant: maybe gravity behaves differently at very low accelerations, the kind of accelerations found in the outskirts of galaxies.

MOND introduces a fundamental constant, a₀ ≈ 1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰ m/s², which acts as a threshold. Above that acceleration, gravity works exactly as Newton described. Below it, gravity is stronger than Newton would predict [[2]].

μMOND(g/a₀) × g = gN The MOND interpolation function, where g is observed gravitational acceleration, gN is Newtonian acceleration, and a₀ is the Milgromian constant ≈ 1.2 × 10⁻¹⁰ m/s².

MOND has scored some remarkable successes at the galactic scale. It predicts galaxy rotation curves without invoking invisible matter. It explains the radial acceleration relation (RAR) — the tight link between the gravity we observe and the gravity predicted from visible matter alone [[2]].

Still, MOND has faced one stubborn problem: galaxy clusters. Even under MOND's modified rules, clusters seemed to require about twice as much mass as the visible baryonic matter could account for. That cluster-scale gap has long been a thorn in MOND's side.

Until now.

What Did the University of Bonn Study Actually Find?

In a paper accepted for publication in Physical Review D in February 2026, a team led by doctoral student Dong Zhang at the University of Bonn, along with Akram Hasani Zonoozi and astrophysicist Pavel Kroupa (University of Bonn and Charles University in Prague), re-examined the mass content of nearby galaxy clusters.

They studied clusters like Abell 0085, NGC 5044, and Abell 1795 — some of the largest gravitationally bound structures in the cosmos. Using data from two major surveys — the WIde-field Nearby Galaxy-cluster Survey (WINGS) and the Two Micron All Sky Survey (2MASS) — they recalculated the masses for 46 galaxy clusters [[1]] [[2]].

Their conclusion? These clusters are about twice as heavy in normal (baryonic) matter as previously thought. And that new estimate lines up well with what MOND predicts — without any exotic dark matter at all.

"Our paper gives a correct calculation of the stellar and gas content of galaxy clusters that for the first time accounts for all the atoms in the periodic table of elements." — Pavel Kroupa, University of Bonn

That's a bold claim. Let's look at how they got there.

How Does the IGIMF Theory Change Our Mass Estimates?

The key tool in this study is something called the IGIMF theory — the Integrated Galaxy-wide Initial Mass Function. This might sound intimidating, but the idea behind it is surprisingly intuitive.

When stars are born, they don't all come out the same size. Some are tiny red dwarfs. Others are massive blue supergiants. The Initial Mass Function (IMF) describes how stars of different masses distribute themselves at birth [[2]].

For decades, most calculations used a canonical IMF — a "one size fits all" rule assuming the distribution of star masses is the same everywhere. The IGIMF theory says that's wrong. It argues that the IMF changes depending on the star formation rate and the metallicity (heavy element content) of the environment [[2]].

Why does this matter for galaxy clusters?

Massive elliptical galaxies — the giant, red, football-shaped galaxies that dominate the centers of clusters — have super-solar metallicities. That means they contain more heavy elements (iron, oxygen, magnesium, and so on) than our Sun. To cook up those elements, you need enormous numbers of massive stars during the galaxy's youth. Those massive stars burn through their fuel fast and die spectacularly, leaving behind neutron stars and stellar-mass black holes [[1]] [[2]].

Under the canonical IMF, we undercount those early massive stars. Under the IGIMF, the galaxy-wide IMF was top-heavy during the formation of massive ellipticals — meaning far more high-mass stars formed than the old models assumed. After billions of years of stellar evolution, those galaxies are now graveyards filled with compact remnants [[2]].

The IGIMF has been developed and tested independently of MOND over the past two decades. It has shown consistency with observations of chemical abundance patterns in dwarf galaxies, the alpha-element-to-iron ratios in massive galaxies, and the variation of star formation rates across different galaxy types [[2]]. That independence matters enormously: the team didn't tweak any parameters to make MOND work. They simply applied a better model of stellar populations — and the missing mass problem largely evaporated.

Where Is All This Hidden Normal Matter?

So where has all this "extra" mass been hiding? Not in some exotic particle from beyond the Standard Model. Right here, in the stuff we already know exists.

According to Dong Zhang, the paper's lead author:

"Many of these galaxies contain a substantial population of stellar remnants — including white dwarfs, neutron stars, and stellar-mass black holes — which can be regarded as a form of baryonic 'dark mass.'" [[1]]

These remnants are invisible to most telescopes. A neutron star barely 20 kilometers across doesn't shine brightly enough to spot at cosmological distances. A stellar-mass black hole emits nothing by itself. Yet collectively, they add up to a staggering amount of mass.

There's also the intracluster light (ICL) — a faint, ghostly glow produced by stars that have been stripped from their parent galaxies and now wander through the vast space between galaxies inside a cluster. Recent observations show that ICL can account for about 20% to 40% of the total stellar luminosity in a cluster, and the IGIMF theory suggests its mass contribution has been underestimated too [[2]].

The galaxy clusters also contain more low-mass, metal-rich stars than older models predicted. These dim stars are hard to detect individually, but they contribute to the total mass of intracluster matter — normal baryonic matter sitting between galaxies [[1]].

The Numbers That Tell the Story

Numbers don't lie. Here's what the study found when comparing total baryonic mass to MOND dynamical mass across 46 galaxy clusters [[2]]:

Mass Model Baryonic Mass as % of MOND Dynamical Mass
Gas (ICM) alone 52% (+4/−3)
Canonical IMF (gas + stars + ICL) 67% (+4+2/−3−1)
IGIMF with canonical IMF for ICL 81% (+5+2/−4−1)
Full IGIMF (gas + stars + remnants + ICL) 88% (+5+2/−4−1)

Read that last row again. Under the IGIMF framework, 88% of the MOND dynamical mass is accounted for by ordinary baryonic matter. And the researchers note that this is likely a conservative lower limit — the galaxy catalogs they used are almost certainly incomplete [[2]].

The jump from 67% to 88% might seem modest at first glance. But in astrophysics, closing a gap like that is enormous. It transforms the "missing mass problem" from a crisis into what might be a cataloging error.

Key finding: Under the old canonical IMF, galaxy clusters appeared to need 5 to 10 times more dark matter than normal matter. The IGIMF recalculation cuts that ratio to roughly 2.5 to 5 times — and possibly less, once more complete surveys are factored in [[1]].

As Kroupa put it bluntly: "This means that all models that have been presented with dark matter are 'suddenly' wrong." [[1]]

How Do Mass-to-Light Ratios Reveal a Galaxy's Secrets?

One of the most elegant tools in this study is the mass-to-light ratio (M/L). The idea is simple: measure how much light a galaxy emits, then calculate how much mass it should contain.

Under the canonical IMF, a massive elliptical galaxy has a relatively modest M/L ratio. But under the IGIMF, these same galaxies have M/L ratios that are 4 to 6 times larger [[2]]. Why? Because the IGIMF accounts for all those stellar remnants — the neutron stars, black holes, and white dwarfs — that don't emit light but still have mass.

LB = 100.4 × (M☉,B − MB) × L☉,B B-band luminosity of a galaxy, where MB is its absolute magnitude and M☉,B is the Sun's B-band absolute magnitude [[2]].

This effect is most dramatic for brightest cluster galaxies (BCGs) — the massive elliptical monsters that sit at the hearts of galaxy clusters. These are among the most luminous objects in the universe, and under the IGIMF, their true masses jump dramatically.

Spiral galaxies, by contrast, are barely affected. Their M/L ratios change by only 10% to 20% between the canonical and IGIMF models. That makes sense: spirals have ongoing star formation and younger stellar populations, so they haven't accumulated the same graveyard of remnants.

What about the formation timeline?

The IGIMF theory connects naturally to downsizing — the well-observed pattern where the most massive galaxies formed their stars earliest and fastest. A giant elliptical might have assembled its stars in less than a billion years, with star formation rates exceeding 1,000 solar masses per year.

Ï„SF [Gyr] = 49 × (M / M)−0.14 Star formation timescale for elliptical galaxies: more massive galaxies form faster.

All that rapid star formation at high redshift demanded a top-heavy IMF — lots of massive stars. Those stars died quickly, enriched the gas to super-solar metallicities, and left behind a vast population of compact remnants. By today (redshift z = 0), those remnants account for approximately 50% of the total stellar mass in massive early-type galaxies under the IGIMF — compared to only 15–20% under the canonical IMF.

Here's a breakdown of remnant fractions in massive elliptical galaxies:

Remnant Type Canonical IMF IGIMF
Neutron Stars + Black Holes ~10–15% of stellar mass ~35–45% of stellar mass
White Dwarfs ~10–15% of stellar mass ~5–10% of stellar mass
Total Remnants ~15–20% ~45–55%

That's a dramatic difference. Half of the mass of a giant elliptical galaxy could be locked in invisible remnants. We just weren't counting them properly.

What Does This Mean for the Future of Dark Matter Research?

Let's not sugarcoat this. If these findings hold up under further scrutiny, the implications are profound.

For 40 years, billions of dollars have been spent building underground detectors, launching space telescopes, and running particle collider experiments — all searching for exotic dark matter particles. Pavel Kroupa doesn't mince words about it:

"Over the past 40 years, there has not been much progress with dark matter. So, it is simply false to continue further funding dark matter research; such work is a massive waste of taxpayer money."

That's a provocative statement, and not everyone in the astrophysics community agrees. Mainstream cosmology still relies heavily on dark matter to explain large-scale structure formation, the cosmic microwave background, and the Bullet Cluster. But the ground is shifting.

The study's most compelling strength is that the IGIMF theory was built independently of MOND. The researchers didn't adjust any parameters to get a fit. They applied a more realistic model of how stars form, grow, and die — and the mass budget of galaxy clusters naturally aligned with MOND's predictions.

That independence is hard to dismiss.

What about the Magellanic Clouds?

There's another puzzle that fits into this picture. The Large and Small Magellanic Clouds — two well-studied dwarf galaxies near our Milky Way — show no signs of dark matter halos.

Under dark matter models, the Small Magellanic Cloud (SMC) should have merged with the Large Magellanic Cloud (LMC) within a billion years due to dynamical friction from their overlapping dark matter halos. Instead, the SMC has been orbiting the LMC peacefully — exactly as MOND would predict for galaxies without dark matter halos.

"In a MOND-based cosmological model, galaxies do not have dark matter halos, and so they very rarely merge," Kroupa explained. "They just orbit each other."

Are There Still Unanswered Questions?

Yes. Absolutely. And it would be dishonest to pretend otherwise.

The study acknowledges several areas of uncertainty:

1. The spatial distribution of stellar remnants is still unknown. Neutron stars can receive kick velocities of around 200 km/s at birth. In massive elliptical galaxies with velocity dispersions of 200–300 km/s, a significant fraction of neutron stars (and possibly some black holes) may be flung beyond the galaxy's effective radius [[2]]. If remnants spread outward, they might not be concentrated where dynamical or lensing measurements probe — which could explain why some studies still find agreement with canonical IMF-based masses.

2. Intracluster light is hard to measure precisely. The study adopts an ICL luminosity fraction of 30% ± 20%, combining observational and simulation data. That's a broad uncertainty range, and better measurements will tighten the results.

3. This analysis covers only nearby clusters (redshift z < 0.1). Higher-redshift clusters, where galaxies are younger and brighter, will need adjusted M/L ratios. The famous Bullet Cluster at z ≈ 0.3 — often cited as evidence for dark matter via gravitational lensing — is specifically flagged for future investigation.

4. There's possible tension with some lensing and dynamical observations. A few studies report that baryonic masses based on a canonical IMF agree with MOND-based lensing or dynamical masses for individual elliptical galaxies. The team points out that those studies may need re-examination in light of observational evidence for a bottom-heavy present-day IMF in massive ellipticals — and the unresolved question of where stellar remnants actually reside.

5. Gravitational wave observatories could provide a test. If massive elliptical galaxies contain as many remnants as the IGIMF predicts, we might eventually detect higher rates of neutron star and black hole mergers from these regions. Current data from LIGO/Virgo/KAGRA isn't precise enough to confirm or rule this out yet.

These are real uncertainties. But they're also testable predictions — the kind of open questions that drive science forward rather than away.

What We've Learned — and Why It Matters

Let's pull it all together.

For nearly half a century, dark matter has been the default explanation for the universe's missing mass. Yet no one has ever detected a dark matter particle directly. Meanwhile, an alternative — MOND — has been quietly racking up successes at galactic scales while struggling with one persistent problem: galaxy clusters still seemed to need extra invisible mass.

Now, a University of Bonn-led team has shown that the "extra" mass might have been ordinary matter all along — neutron stars, stellar-mass black holes, and white dwarfs — hiding in the stellar graveyards of massive elliptical galaxies. By using the IGIMF theory to realistically model stellar populations, they found that 88% of the MOND dynamical mass in 46 galaxy clusters can be accounted for by normal baryonic matter [[2]]. And that figure is likely a conservative lower limit.

This doesn't prove MOND is the final answer. Science doesn't deal in proofs — it deals in evidence, testable predictions, and self-correction. But it does mean that dark matter's position as the unchallenged default explanation is weaker than it was yesterday.

We're witnessing a shift. The cosmos might be simpler — and stranger — than we imagined.

At FreeAstroScience.com, we believe that understanding the universe is everyone's right. We don't ask you to accept ideas uncritically. We ask you to think. Never turn off your mind. Keep it active at all times. Because, as Francisco Goya once warned us, the sleep of reason breeds monsters.

Come back to FreeAstroScience whenever your curiosity calls. We'll be here — translating the language of the stars into something you can carry with you.

Written for you by FreeAstroScience.com — where complex science becomes clear thinking.

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