What Is Happening in Iran? Protests, War, and the 2026 Crisis


Hello there, science and culture lovers! I am Gerd Dani, and today we are shifting our focus from the stars to something much closer to home. Have you ever wondered why we see so much news about the Middle East, yet it still feels impossible to understand?

At FreeAstroScience.com, we believe that "the sleep of reason breeds monsters." Our mission is to keep your mind sharp by making complex topics simple. Today, we are diving deep into the massive crisis unfolding in Iran this January 2026. This isn't just about politics; it’s about history, geography, and the human spirit. Let’s get to work!

Why Did the Iranian Rial Collapse in 2025?

The crisis we see today didn't happen overnight. It is the result of a perfect storm. On December 28, 2025, massive protests exploded across all 31 Iranian provinces. People are hungry, angry, and desperate.

The Iranian currency, the rial, has suffered a "vertical loss" of value. Today, one single US dollar is worth over 1 million rials. Imagine going to buy bread and needing a suitcase of cash. This collapse was triggered by the "snapback" of international sanctions.

These sanctions were officially reinstated on September 28, 2025, after Iran stopped cooperating with the International Atomic Energy Agency. Britain, France, and Germany voted for this move within the UN Security Council. The result? An inflation rate that has stayed stubbornly above 40%.

What Was the "12-Day War" and Its Aftermath?

You might be asking: why did the sanctions come back so suddenly? The answer lies in the "12-Day War" of June 2025. This conflict changed everything for the regime in Tehran.

* The Conflict: The US launched air strikes against Iranian nuclear sites last June.

* The Result: While Iran fired missiles back, the strikes were devastatingly specific and violent.

* The Humiliation: The regime was "humiliated" because it couldn't protect its own territory.

In a country with an "imperial" mindset, losing face is worse than losing money. The Persian people have always expected their leaders to be a bulwark against the West. When that wall crumbled, the people's last bit of patience went with it.

Is China Turning Iran into a "Neo-Colony"?

With the West closing its doors, Iran had to look elsewhere for a "lung" to breathe. That lung is China. But this relationship is far from equal.

China currently acquires about 90% of Iran's oil production. We are talking about 1.5 million barrels of oil every single day. However, China doesn't pay full price. They get this oil at a massive discount or through "barter" for technology.

Because of this, China effectively controls Iran's economy. Some experts even call this a "neo-colonialist" dynamic. If China stops buying, the Iranian regime collapses in days. This gives Beijing incredible leverage over Tehran's decisions.

How Does the "Imperial Eye" Explain the Protests?

To truly understand Iran, we have to stop looking at it like a Western nation. Expert Dario Fabbri reminds us that Iran is an Empire, not a simple state.

Only about 60% of the population is actually Persian. The rest are minorities like Azeris, Kurds, and Baluchis.

* The Azeris: They are Turkic-speaking but Shiite, making them the most "accepted" minority in the elite.

* The Kurds: They are Sunni and often feel like second-class citizens.

* The Youth: 70% of Iranians are under the age of 45.

These young people are "true" youth. They are violent in their demands and don't care about the "future" as much as they care about the present. They are wearing Zoroastrian jewelry and visiting the tomb of Cyrus the Great to show they want a Persian identity that exists outside of the Islamic regime.

Will the Trump Administration Intervene Directly?

Finally, let's talk about the giant in the room: Donald Trump. As of January 2026, he is actively evaluating a direct intervention in Iran.

Trump's rhetoric has shifted significantly. He is now using the language of "freedom" and "human rights," sounding a lot like a neoconservative from 20 years ago. But what is the real goal?

1. Breaking the Antagonist: The US wants to end Iran's role as the main anti-Western power in the Middle East.

2. Hurting China: If the US topples the regime, China loses its cheap oil supply.

3. The "Domino Effect": Trump believes that by squeezing Iran, he can also suffocate regimes in Venezuela and Cuba.

For now, an immediate full-scale attack seems "averted," but the threat remains on the table as a way to further humiliate the Ayatollah.


Conclusion: Keeping Our Reason Awake

The situation in Iran is a tragic puzzle of ancient history and modern greed. Thousands have died in the streets since December, and the regime has even shut down the internet to hide the truth.

As we have seen, the "sleep of reason" truly does breed monsters. Whether it is the monster of hyper-inflation or the monster of war, we must remain informed. Iran is a world of its own, and it is currently fighting to decide its own soul.

Thank you for joining us at FreeAstroScience.com. We are here to make sure you stay alert, curious, and always a step ahead. What do you think—can a regime survive without the support of its youngest generation? Let's discuss below!

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